
In his latest book,
Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution and How It Can Renew America, Thomas L. Friedman writes of "Code Green," his designation for the green revolution which is needed to wean America and the world away from a dependence on carbon-based fuels and to switch us over to renewable, sustainable, alternative sources of energy. Though I am only in the middle of reading the book, I have decided its topic merits a regular blog. Thus, this new blog:
The Code Green Blog.
We all need to get serious about Code Green — not just sometime in the near or distant future, but today. Most of us have heard about the various reasons why, but Friedman, a respected columnist for
The New York Times, brings them all together into a systemic approach that is fresh and compelling.
The crux of the problem: Our high carbon-based energy usage spews carbon dioxide
(CO
2) and other greenhouse gases — gases that trap the sun's heat — into the atmosphere at breakneck speed. Even more greenhouse gases result from the vast deforestation of our tropical regions to increase the stock of farmland, and yet more from millions of additional cows belching(!), day in and day out, as agriculture expands around the world to feed ever-increasing multitudes.
Before 1750 and the Industrial Revolution there were, for ten thousand years at least, around 280 parts per million of CO
2 in the atmosphere, and global temperature had held steady since the last Ice Age. Since then, atmospheric CO
2 has risen to 384 ppm, as global temperatures have gone up by 0.8 degrees Celsius owing to global warming. The planet is showing signs of a fever.
We are now on the threshold of seeing atmospheric CO
2 concentrations rise yet more precipitously; it will take a concerted effort to head off carbon dioxide concentrations by 2050 that are double or even triple those of the baseline year 1750. Global temperatures are expected to rise by a further 2 or 3 degrees Celsius by mid-century. Unless we start doing something now to avoid it, we will face massive "global weirding": stronger hurricanes, deeper droughts, massive forest fires, missing snowcaps, scanty snow runoff, flooded coastal areas, enlarged deserts. Ecosystems will run askew; species by the millions will be endangered or extinct.
A major reason why greenhouse gas emissions and global temperatures can be expected to rise exponentially between now and mid-century is that advancing cultures with huge populations like China and India are rapidly joining advanced nations like the U.S. and those of the European Union in their profligate middle-class consumption patterns. This world is not only growing
hot, it is growing
flat (because of the leveling effect of the emerging new middle classes, fed by the communications revolution of recent years) and it is growing
crowded (because the 6.5 billion people in the world today will expand by another nearly 3 billion individuals in the next few decades).
In other words, we have a huge problem on our hands — even without taking into account that our habit in America of consuming massive quantities of foreign oil is keeping petrodictators in business in countries that, to say the least, do not wish us well. In the Middle East and the larger Muslim world the effects are even more disastrous than they are with respect to our semi-adversaries like Russia. Muslim dictators and monarchs (many of them our nominal allies) funnel American petrodollars to our worst enemies to run schools to train the next generation of 9/11 attackers. How dumb is that, for us in our petro-complacency to finance specifically those very people who wish us the worst?
As Friedman points out so chillingly, the Osama bin Ladens and al-Qaedas of the world feed on the poverty and hopelessness of Muslim populations whose political leaders are too benighted to spread the oil wealth and develop an enlightened middle class in their own countries. We must accordingly starve the oil beast by denying it our dollars, so as to force it to reform in the way that Arab countries that have already started to run out of oil have begun to do. Nothing can do more than our "going green," post haste, to engender peace and stability for us and for the wider world.
In short, the whole future of humankind's greatest aspirations depends in key, interlocking ways on Code Green.